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Financial Markets 03/31 15:35
NEW YORK (AP) -- U.S. stocks surged to their best day since last spring, and
the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 1,125 points on Tuesday as doubt swung
back to hope on Wall Street about a possible end to the war with Iran.
The S&P 500 leaped 2.9% for its largest gain since May. Just a day before,
worries about the war had sent the main measure of Wall Street's health more
than 9% below its all-time high set early this year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 2.5%, while the Nasdaq composite
jumped 3.8%.
The rebound came as financial markets seized on a couple tenuous signals for
hope about a possible end to the war. It's the latest manic swing following
weeks of frenetic back and forth amid uncertainty about the war. The moves also
came as Wall Street marked the end of the year's first quarter, a milestone
that can cause a flurry of trading as fund managers close their books.
Analysts said optimism entered markets overnight following a report from The
Wall Street Journal saying President Donald Trump told aides he's willing to
end the U.S. military campaign against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz
remains largely closed. The strait is a narrow waterway connecting the Persian
Gulf to the open ocean, and a fifth of the world's oil sails through it on a
typical day.
Oil prices then took a sudden and sharp turn lower in midday trading
following a news report from the Middle East quoting Iran's president Masoud
Pezeshkian as saying it has "the necessary will to end the war" as long as
certain requirements are met, including "guarantees to prevent a recurrence of
aggression."
The worry on Wall Street has been that the war may last a long time and keep
oil and natural gas from the Persian Gulf out of global markets, which could
create a brutal blast of inflation. Following Tuesday's possible signals of
hope, the price for a barrel of Brent crude oil, the international standard,
fell 3.2% to settle at $103.97. Benchmark U.S. crude erased a gain from the
morning and eased 1.5% to settle at $101.38.
Oil prices could quickly revert to spiking, to be sure, if tankers carrying
crude can't get through the strait easily. Iran attacked a fully loaded Kuwaiti
oil tanker in the Persian Gulf in the latest fighting in the region.
And oil prices have already shot high enough that inflation in Europe
accelerated to 2.5% in March, up from February's 1.9%.
In the United States, the price for a gallon of gasoline topped $4 per
gallon for the first time since 2022. That's squeezing budgets for U.S.
households and preventing spending on other things. Worries about that and
pressured profit margins for companies meant the S&P 500 closed Tuesday with
its worst loss for a quarter since the summer of 2022.
The 4.6% loss would have been even worse if not for Tuesday's easing for oil
prices, which helped stocks of companies that have big fuel bills. United
Airlines soared 8.1%, and Norwegian Cruise Line Holding steamed 5.9% higher to
trim their losses for the year so far.
Tech stocks were the strongest forces lifting the market in a widespread
rally where four out of every five stocks within the S&P 500 rose. Marvell
Technology shot up 12.8% after Nvidia invested $2 billion in the company and
announced a partnership with it. Nvidia rose 5.6% and was the single strongest
force lifting the S&P 500.
Centessa Pharmaceuticals soared 44% after Eli Lilly said it was buying the
company working on treatments for excessive daytime sleepiness and other
neurological conditions. Lilly, which is paying up to $7.8 billion if certain
conditions are met, rose 3.7%
They helped offset a 6.1% drop for McCormick. The spice company is buying
most of Unilever's food business, including such brands as Hellmann's, for cash
and stock valuing it at $44.8 billion.
All told, the S&P 500 jumped 184.80 points to 6,528.52. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average climbed 1,125.37 to 46,341.51, and the Nasdaq composite
rallied 795.99 to 21,590.63.
They benefited from easing pressure from the bond market, where Treasury
yields sank again. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.32% from 4.35%
late Monday and from 4.44% at the end of last week. That's a significant move
for the bond market.
Lower yields should pull downward on rates for mortgages and other loans for
U.S. households and businesses, which have been screaming higher since the war
began. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was at just 3.97% in late February,
before worries about high oil prices pushed traders to erase bets for cuts to
interest rates by the Federal Reserve this year.
Yields remained lower following a couple reports Tuesday on the U.S. economy
that came in better than economists expected. One said confidence among U.S.
consumers unexpectedly improved. The other said U.S. employers were advertising
more job openings at the end of February than expected, though fewer than the
month before.
In stock markets abroad, indexes rose in Europe following a tougher finish
in Asia. South Korea's Kospi fell 4.3%, and Japan's Nikkei 225 lost 1.6% for
two of the bigger moves.
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AP Business Writers Chan Ho-him and Matt Ott contributed.
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